Industry analysts continue to debate whether the New York City real
estate market has recovered, but there’s no question that land prices
here have. In some cases, development sites are trading for close to —
and even exceeding — the levels they hit just before the 2008 financial
crisis.
Eager developers, encouraged by lenders with a newfound willingness
to write loans for construction projects, are acquiring development
sites across the city, pushing up land prices. According to data
compiled for
The Real Deal by real estate research firm
PropertyShark and the commercial brokerage Massey Knakal, the gains in
price and volume are being driven by a flurry of activity in Manhattan
and Brooklyn.
In fact, the surge in appetite for land has some developers worried that a bubble is imminent.
“I’m starting to feel that it is going out of control,” said Miki
Naftali, CEO of the Naftali Group, which last month closed on a deal to
buy an interest in a development site at 33 Beekman Street in the
Financial District.
The asking prices for some properties are twice what they were just
12 months ago, noted Naftali, though he declined to reveal what he paid
at 33 Beekman.
Closed sales data doesn’t show increases quite that steep, but prices are clearly on the rise.
For Manhattan development deals so far in 2012, the price per
buildable square foot is $323.43, up from $308.32 last year, according
to data from Massey Knakal Realty; in Brooklyn, it’s grown to $117.71
from $113.24 in 2011.
Activity, too, is on the rise. In the first six months of 2012, there
were 275 sales of vacant properties (including parking lots) in New
York City, according to PropertyShark. If that energetic sales pace
continues as analysts expect, the year will conclude with some 550 land
buys, the most since 2008, when the city saw 620.
“The level of activity indicates that people are buying land again,
and there’s no question there’s been improvement in pricing,” said
Teresa Nygard, a land appraiser for Manhattan-based KTR Real Estate Advisors.
Manhattan deals
The uptick in land sales, experts said, is partly due to the greater availability of construction financing.
“Without a construction loan, land is worth nothing,” said Abraham
Hidary, president of Hidrock Realty, which paid $27.9 million, or around
$200 per buildable square foot, in March for a vacant lot at 133
Greenwich Street. Along with partner Robert Finvarb Cos., Hidary said
his team plans to build a $100 million, 320-room hotel on the site,
which is slated to open in 2015.
That deal was one of 27 vacant Manhattan land buys in the first half
of this year, according to PropertyShark. If that activity keeps up,
2012 will see more activity than last year, when the borough had a total
of 46 deals for vacant land; 2010, when there were 41; 2009, when there
were 23; and even 2008, when there were 37.
And that doesn’t include sites with existing structures that will
likely be converted to new uses, or razed for new buildings. According
to Massey Knakal, which does track those sites, Manhattan has already
seen 44 deals for development sites in the first half of the year, worth
$809.4 million. That puts the borough on track to far exceed last
year’s 54 total transactions. The strong residential market is one of
the main forces driving more investors to buy land. The average monthly
rent for a Manhattan apartment, for example, hit a record high of around
$3,400 this spring, according to data from the brokerage Citi Habitats.
Prices for new condos in some areas, meanwhile, are now hovering around
$2,000 per square foot, brokers said.
That may explain why the priciest land deals of the year are those
that are slated for use as new condominiums. The priciest Manhattan
development deal per square foot so far in 2012, according to Massey
Knakal, was the sale of a parking lot at 24 Varick Street, also known as
11 North Moore. That deal closed in June for $47.7 million, or $707 per
buildable square foot. As The Real Deal has reported, VE Equities,
headed by Zach Vella and Justin Ehrlich, is developing a 20-unit
condominium there.
And at 105 West 57th Street, JDS Development Group purchased the
controlling interest in a lot owned by Starwood Capital Group for $40
million. The price for the site, which can accommodate a skyscraper,
comes to $617 per buildable square foot, according to Massey Knakal.
JDS — the developer of the Chelsea condo conversion Walker Tower —
plans to build a 100,000-square-foot, 50-story condo on the site, which
is already zoned for residential.
Sites like these, which are “shovel-ready,” tend to fetch top-dollar
from developers, explained Ofer Cohen, president of the commercial
brokerage TerraCRG.
Other development deals that fetch top-dollar are often those with
existing structures that are ripe for conversion to residential uses.
In April, for example, a 10,446-square-foot factory and garage
building at 37 Great Jones Street sold for $7.5 million. According to
Massey Knakal, the seller, Great Jones Street Property LLC, paid around
$633 per buildable square foot for the site. The landmarked building is
being converted to five residential lofts and the project, developed by
DIB Management, is currently seeking approval for its plan from the
city’s Landmarks Preservation Commission.
Another high-profile Manhattan land deal, which closed in 2011 but
also seems to reflect the land-rush trend, is a weedy vacant lot at 208
East 14th Street, which has sat vacant for years with no apparent
interest among developers to build on it. It was nicknamed the “mystery
lot” by Curbed.
A partnership of New Jersey-based Ironstate Development Company, Abe
and Scott Shnay, and CB Developers bought it last year for $33.2 million
and is now beginning to build an eight-story, 82-unit condo that is
scheduled for completion in 2013.
Brooklyn boom
Brooklyn has seen an even more dramatic spike in activity.
Last year — Brooklyn’s most active since the financial crisis — some
206 vacant properties traded hands in the borough, according to
PropertyShark. That’s more than the 195 that traded in 2008.
Naftali is currently constructing a 104-unit apartment building on an
empty lot in Park Slope, which he bought seven months ago for around
$100 per buildable square foot. Today, with demand rising, he said he
believes he could sell the property for $200 per buildable foot.
“The market is moving so fast,” he said.
The borough’s high level of activity can be traced to a sudden uptick
in supply: Many development sites that were stalled during the
recession and then tied up in litigation are now coming to market.
“A huge vacuum opened,” Cohen said.
Simultaneously, Brooklyn’s popularity has grown throughout the
downturn. Cohen estimated that residential rents in Brooklyn have been
growing by about 10 percent per year.
Illustrating the new thirst for Brooklyn land is one of the borough’s
priciest land deals this year: the sale of a stalled site at 242
Bedford Avenue in Williamsburg, where a Whole Foods will soon be
opening, the New York Post reported. Michael Cayre’s Midtown Equities,
along with Aurora Capital and developer Alex Adjmi, closed on the
purchase from landlord Yahuda Backer in March. According to Massey
Knakal, the site traded for $21 million, or around $222 per buildable
square foot.
The partners’ 150,000-square-foot development will also include luxury rental apartments, the Post reported.
In another deal with a high price per square foot, an
8,150-square-foot Brooklyn Heights building at 174 Montague Street,
formerly the home of Eamonn’s Irish pub, traded hands in May for $12
million, or $240 per buildable square foot, according to Massey Knakal.
The Brooklyn Eagle reported that the new owners are Eli Stoll and
Charles Dayan, and that the existing two-story structure will be
replaced by condos.
Also in May, 313 Gold Street in Downtown Brooklyn traded for $19
million. Since the site can accommodate a skyscraper of up to 40
stories, that works out to only around $81 per buildable square foot,
according to TerraCRG.
The vacant lot, at Johnson Street — located next to the now sold-out
Oro condominium — was supposed to be the site of Oro’s sister building,
but developers appeared to have scrapped those plans when they put the
land on the market this year. A group called Brooklyn Princess LLC was
the purchaser, according to city records.
And in June, at 61 Park Place in Park Slope, a 5,000-square-foot
building owned by the Catholic Church was purchased for $5.75 million,
or $357.50 per buildable square foot, the priciest per-square-foot deal
this year in Brooklyn. According to filings with the city’s Department
of Buildings, a demolition permit for the site has already been issued.
Other boroughs
Outside Manhattan and Brooklyn, however, land sales are still far below their boom-time levels.
In the Bronx and Staten Island, activity tumbled after the financial
crisis and has stayed roughly the same since, according to
PropertyShark.
In Queens, the number of land trades has decreased every year since
2008. There have been 49 sales of vacant properties this year, on track
to finish the year at about 100, less than last year’s total of 126,
according to PropertyShark.
PropertyShark’s Calen Onet attributed the sluggishness to lenders’
view that Queens is “the NYC borough with the most foreclosures.”
The one exception was the massive deal in February by Victor
Elmaleh’s World-Wide Group, for a 25,000-square-foot lot on 24th Street
in Long Island City.
World-Wide bought the lot for $28.9 million from the Criterion Group,
according to city property records. Elmaleh’s plans for the site are
unclear, though. He did not return a call for comment, nor did
Criterion.
By C. J. Hughes
http://therealdeal.com/issues_articles/getting-dirty/